Exit polls in India hint at victory for premier's party

Mar 10, 2017, 00:47
Exit polls in India hint at victory for premier's party

In Manipur, the HuffPost-CVoter poll gives a rising BJP the edge, while the India Today-Axis My India poll gives the state comfortably back to the Congress and to Okram Ibobi Singh for his fourth straight term.

Going by the pollsters, the all-important battle for UP may lead to the rout of the BSP and the SP-Congress alliance could be a poor second. According to ABP's exit poll projects BJP will emerge as largest party with 34-42 seats whereas Congress is predicted to get 23-29 seats. India TV CVoter gave 155-167 seats to BJP, 135 to 147 for SP-Congress and 81 to 93 for BSP.

However, India TV-C Voter projected 59-67 seats for debutante AAP and 41-49 for the Congress. India News-MRC and News 24-Chanakya forecast a dead heat by giving 55 and 54 seats each to both parties. As well as significant infrastructure spending, his party had vowed to provide a toilet for each household within five years along with a laptop complete with one year's worth of free internet for the state's youth.

While, India Today has stated that the BJP will bag 185 seats with Congress-SP alliance grabbing 120.

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The elections to the 70-seat legislature in the hilly state saw a direct contest between the BJP and the Congress. Majority of the exit polls show BJP surging and likely to get a clear majority. The Shiromani Akali Dal-BJP combine was projected to be decimated in the State which it has ruled for a decade. Two exit polls say the parties will be neck-and-neck. It estimates Congress will get between 9 and 13 seats, while AAP is predicted to be at the bottom of the table, with a maximum of two seats.

Battle for the states of Uttar Pradesh, Punjab, Goa, Uttarakhand and Manipur has kept everyone on the edge of their seats. Punjab assembly has 117 seats. If this comes true, BJP will get the chance to form a coalition government, and it will come as a big surprise as the party didn't win even a single seat in the previous elections (2012). Not only will the baton formally pass to the BJP as the principal pole of Indian politics, but the opposition, particularly the Congress, even though it is forecast to win in Punjab, will have to figure out how to deal with the Narendra Modi phenomenon.

As it is, the battle clearly seems to be taking place between BJP and Congress but the role of regional parties can not be undermined.

The AAP has made a strong inroads into the South Malwa belt, which has been the epicentre of the anger against the ruling SAD-BJP government. As for India Today-Axis, the BJP is forming government in UP, Uttarakhand, Goa and Manipur.